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Chip maker revenue to skyrocket in Q1 due to deficit
24.02.2021 [13:25],
Gennady Detinich

TrendForce analysts have received data that demand in the global contract manufacturing market for chips in the first quarter of 2021 will remain at a record high. This is facilitated by a shortage of automotive semiconductors and customer fears of supply disruptions, while shortages and fears of running out of stock are forcing overpriced contracts.

According to TrendForce, all of the above will lead to a significant increase in revenue for contract semiconductor manufacturers in the first quarter of this year. On average, revenue of the world’s ten largest contract manufacturers in the first quarter will grow by 20% or more compared to the same period last year.

This happens very rarely, and has only happened once or twice in the last 20 years. And everything would be fine, only a shortage of chips for automotive electronics can provoke a shortage in related areas during the redistribution of production capacity, because there are no more free lines — everything is loaded to the eyeballs.

The leader of the contract manufacturing market — the Taiwanese company TSMC — steadily introduces the 5-nm technical process into circulation. Manufacturing under these standards is expected to bring TSMC up to 20% of revenue. Also, thanks to orders from AMD, NVIDIA, Qualcomm and MediaTek, the demand for the 7nm process technology remains high and promises to bring the company 30% of revenue. Overall, TSMC’s revenue is expected to grow by 25% in the first quarter of 2021 compared to the same period last year and will reach a new high amid growing demand for 5G applications, HPC and automotive electronics.

Image source: Bloomberg

The second-largest company in the market, Samsung intends to invest more in expanding chip production, dividing the investment between the release of memory, logic and image sensors. Samsung’s first-quarter revenue is expected to grow 11% y / y compared to high share of 5nm and 7nm manufacturing.

In third place is the Taiwanese UMC. Her current specialization is display drivers, power controllers (PMIC), RF ICs and IoT solutions. According to the forecast, all this will increase UMC’s quarterly revenue by 14% YoY. Arab-American GlobalFoundries follows UMC. This manufacturer promises to increase its quarterly revenue for the first quarter by 8%. Most of the revenue will grow on orders for automotive electronics, although some of the orders come from the US Department of Defense (for old IBM factories).

Image source: TrendForce

In fifth place is the Chinese company SMIC. Due to US sanctions, SMIC’s revenues from technological processes below 14 nm will decrease, but production using mature technological processes will skyrocket. In general, SMIC expects to increase revenue by 17% in the first quarter, which is very, very good in the context of sanctions.

The other five companies in the list of leaders in contract manufacturing are represented by the Israeli TowerJazz, Taiwan PSMC, Chinese Hua Hong and South Korean DB HiTek. The indicators of all five can be found from the table above, but their market share is insignificant for a detailed consideration.

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