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German automakers will find it harder to solve the problem with the shortage of chips
Since the beginning of the year, representatives of the authorities of the United States, Germany and Japan through diplomatic channels tried to lobby the interests of the domestic auto industry in a situation with a shortage of semiconductor components. Informed sources argue that German manufacturers are less likely to change the state of affairs in the industry than American ones.
Image source: Reuters
Another analysis of the problems of relations between semiconductor product developers and their customers from among automakers was carried out by Reuters with the involvement of industry analysts. As you know, the auto industry is not the largest consumer of semiconductor products — its share in the total revenue of the segment does not exceed 10%, although in monetary terms it reaches a solid $ 40 billion a year. The auto industry does not need advanced lithographic technologies, on which chip manufacturers and their contractors spend the bulk of their capital investments. For this reason, it is not so easy to take and quickly increase the volume of production of automotive components.
One of the European chip manufacturers admitted to Reuters that in the midst of a pandemic, with a drop in demand for cars, the company had to dismiss part of its staff and incur losses associated with equipment downtime. If automakers took on at least some of the financial risks in calling for more chip production, the semiconductor industry could still follow their lead. Otherwise, few people will dare to increase production volumes solely for the needs of the automotive industry. Some of the customers, as the chip maker added, simply do not understand that enterprises are already working at the limit of their capabilities, there are no reserves to increase production.
Representatives of the German automotive industry believe that the appeal of the German authorities to the Taiwanese partners in January this year will not bring any results. American customers have a better chance of success, because the US government at least has political influence on the island, where half of the manufacturing capacity of companies specializing in contract manufacturing of semiconductor components is concentrated.
IHS Markit estimates that the average lead time for a microcontroller in the automotive industry has now increased from 13 to 16 weeks, and will not start to improve before March. Over time, the auto industry will begin to influence the semiconductor industry more, as the share of high-tech components in vehicles will grow as the spread of electric vehicles and the introduction of autopilot systems. In the meantime, Strategy Analytics experts expect that this year the volume of car production in North America and Europe will decrease by 5-10% due to the lack of components.